Climatic risks and impacts in South Asia: extremes of water scarcity and excess - Aix-Marseille Université Access content directly
Journal Articles Regional Environmental Change Year : 2017

Climatic risks and impacts in South Asia: extremes of water scarcity and excess

Kira Vinke
  • Function : Author
Sophie Adams
  • Function : Author
Florent Baarsch
  • Function : Author
Dim Coumou
  • Function : Author
Reik Donner
  • Function : Author
Arathy Menon
  • Function : Author
Mahé Perrette
  • Function : Author
Kira Rehfeld
  • Function : Author
Alexander Robinson
  • Function : Author
Marcia Rocha
  • Function : Author
Susanne Schwan
  • Function : Author
Olivia Serdeczny
  • Function : Author
Anastasia Svirejeva-Hopkins
  • Function : Author

Abstract

This paper reviews the current knowledge of climatic risks and impacts in South Asia associated with anthropogenic warming levels of 1.5–4 °C above pre-industrial values in the twenty-first century. It is based on the World Bank Report ‘‘Turn Down the Heat, Climate Extremes, Regional Impacts and the Case for Resilience’’ (2013b). Many of the climate change impacts in the region, which appear quite severe even with relatively modest warming of 1.5–2 °C, pose significant hazards to development. For example, increased monsoon variability and loss or glacial meltwater will likely confront populations with ongoing and multiple challenges. The result is a significant risk to stable and reliable water resources for the region, with increases in peak flows potentially causing floods and dry season flow reductions threatening agriculture. Irrespective of the anticipated economic development and growth, climate projections indicate that large parts of South Asia’s growing population and especially the poor are likely to remain highly vulnerable to climate change.
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Dates and versions

hal-01771766 , version 1 (23-04-2018)

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Kira Vinke, María J Martín, Sophie Adams, Florent Baarsch, Alberte Bondeau, et al.. Climatic risks and impacts in South Asia: extremes of water scarcity and excess. Regional Environmental Change, 2017, 17 (6), pp.1569 - 1583. ⟨10.1007/s10113-015-0924-9⟩. ⟨hal-01771766⟩
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