Bayesian inference for non-anonymous growth incidence curves using Bernstein polynomials: an application to academic wage dynamics - Aix-Marseille Université
Article Dans Une Revue Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics Année : 2023

Bayesian inference for non-anonymous growth incidence curves using Bernstein polynomials: an application to academic wage dynamics

Résumé

The paper examines the question of non-anonymous Growth Incidence Curves (na-GIC) from a Bayesian inferential point of view. Building on the notion of conditional quantiles of Barnett (1976. “The Ordering of Multivariate Data.” Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A 139: 318–55), we show that removing the anonymity axiom leads to a complex and shaky curve that has to be smoothed, using a non-parametric approach. We opted for a Bayesian approach using Bernstein polynomials which provides confidence intervals, tests and a simple way to compare two na-GICs. The methodology is applied to examine wage dynamics in a US university with a particular attention devoted to unbundling and anti-discrimination policies. Our findings are the detection of wage scale compression for higher quantiles for all academics and an apparent pro-female wage increase compared to males. But this pro-female policy works only for academics and not for the para-academics categories created by the unbundling policy.
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Dates et versions

hal-04185645 , version 1 (28-03-2024)

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Edwin Fourrier-Nicolaï, Michel Lubrano. Bayesian inference for non-anonymous growth incidence curves using Bernstein polynomials: an application to academic wage dynamics. Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics, In press, ⟨10.1515/snde-2022-0109⟩. ⟨hal-04185645⟩
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