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Chapitre D'ouvrage Année : 2023

Fertility Intensity and Timing

Résumé

This chapter looks at the comparative evolution of fertility since 1950 through several synthetic indicators of fertility intensity (average number of children per woman) and timing (age at childbearing, all birth ranks combined). The Mediterranean area is still a fairly contrasted area in terms of fertility levels, but the reduction in the gaps between countries has been clear and rapid since the 1970s. Fertility is still relatively high in some Southern and Eastern Mediterranean countries and is decreasing noticeably, while very low levels can be observed on the Northern Shore (Spain, Portugal, Italy, Greece, etc.). The chapter also presents the most probable fertility trends in this region of the world by returning to the underlying hypotheses. Is the hypothesis of a sustainable convergence of fertility at the level of the replacement fertility rate between the shores foreseeable and, if so, over what time horizon?
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hal-04506292 , version 1 (15-03-2024)

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Yoann Doignon, Isabelle Blöss-Widmer, Elena Ambrosetti, Sébastien Oliveau. Fertility Intensity and Timing. Population Dynamics in the Mediterranean, Springer International Publishing, pp.63-79, 2023, SpringerBriefs in Population Studies, 978-3-031-37758-7. ⟨10.1007/978-3-031-37759-4_5⟩. ⟨hal-04506292⟩
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