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Article Dans Une Revue Labour Economics Année : 2023

Can workers still climb the social ladder as middling jobs become scarce? Evidence from two British cohorts

Résumé

The increase in employment polarization observed in several high-income economies has coincided with a reduction in inter-generational mobility. This paper argues that the disappearance of middling jobs can drive changes in mobility, notably by removing a stepping stone towards high-paying occupations for those from less well-off family backgrounds. Using data from two British cohorts who entered the labour market at two points in time with very different degrees of employment polarization, we examine how parental income affects both entry occupations and occupational upgrading over careers. We find that transitions across occupations are key to mobility and that the impact of parental income has grown over time. At regional level, using a shiftshare IV-strategy, we show that the impact of parental income has increased the most in regions experiencing the greatest increase in polarisation. This indicates that the disappearance of middling jobs played a role in the observed decline in mobility.
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Dates et versions

hal-04126836 , version 1 (13-06-2023)

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Cecilia García-Peñalosa, Fabien Petit, Tanguy van Ypersele. Can workers still climb the social ladder as middling jobs become scarce? Evidence from two British cohorts. Labour Economics, 2023, 84, pp.102390. ⟨10.1016/j.labeco.2023.102390⟩. ⟨hal-04126836⟩
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